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2024-12-14 00:48:46

The growth enterprise market index fell to 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.65% and the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 0.93%. Securities, real estate and food consumption were among the top losers, with nearly 4,300 stocks falling in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing.The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.


Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.Visionox: Chengdu Chenxian Micro-LED production line has entered the sprint stage of mass production and shipment. Visionox (002387) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the first TFT-based Micro-LED production line in Chengdu Chenxian, a shareholding company, completed the equipment moving in in September this year and is now entering the sprint stage of mass production and shipment.


The three major stock indexes all fell more than 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1%, the Shenzhen Composite Index fell 1.28%, the Growth Enterprise Market Index fell 1.49%, and more than 4,100 stocks in the whole market fell.The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 0.78%, the index of state-owned enterprises fell by 0.88%, and the branch index opened lower by 1.01%.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.

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